Following our latest Middle East briefing, this new update offers a clear read on how the war is developing as Iran, the US and regional actors settle into a grinding phase of reciprocal strikes, a closed Strait of Hormuz and a fragile travel picture.
Building on last week’s session, our analysts set out the security trends shaping the conflict, the pressure points driving policy choices in Washington, Tehran and across the Gulf, and the indicators we now track to assess both deterioration and improvement. The team also gave a grounded view of the energy story – rising prices, tight supply and the strain on public opinion – and what it all means for organisations with people or operations in the region.
What we covered:
- How the conflict has moved into a war of attrition, with sustained missile and drone activity but limited strategic gains
- The closure of the Strait of Hormuz and the knock‑on effects on energy markets, supply routes and business operations
- Key indicators across security, diplomacy, travel, infrastructure and embassy posture – and what they tell us about the wider trajectory
- Forecasts for the coming weeks, including the likelihood of continued military action, ongoing travel disruption and limited diplomatic movement
- Practical advice for decision‑makers, travellers and regional workforces, from contingency planning to longer‑term operational choices
- What we are seeing from clients on the ground – rising requests for office relocations, support for expats and local staff, and questions about triggers for closures or evacuations
Catch up on the webinar above, or read our latest assessment and advice via our dedicated hub, updated regularly.
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