Publications
Special advisory: El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) 2026–27
05.10.2026
The strongest El Niño on record could be on its way – and its effects are already being felt.
Dubbed the ‘Godzilla’ El Nino by some, this powerful weather phenomenon could disrupt supply chains, travel and operations across multiple regions.
Forecasts suggest it could peak at +3.6°C between now and early 2027 – almost a full degree above the 2015–16 record.
For organisations with people, sites or suppliers in affected regions, the next six months will be critical.
Our latest special advisory from our Global Security Operations Centre explains what to expect, where disruption is most likely and the practical steps organisations can take now to protect their people and keep operations moving.
- How El Niño develops and how scientists measure its strength.
- Regional outlooks spanning Southeast Asia to the Americas.
- Potential impacts on energy, insurance, shipping and public health.
- Practical steps to prepare your people, sites and supply chains.
